Shandong Gold (China) Market Value

600547 Stock   25.58  0.43  1.71%   
Shandong Gold's market value is the price at which a share of Shandong Gold trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shandong Gold Mining investors about its performance. Shandong Gold is trading at 25.58 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 1.71 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 25.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shandong Gold Mining and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shandong Gold over a given investment horizon. Check out Shandong Gold Correlation, Shandong Gold Volatility and Shandong Gold Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shandong Gold.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Shandong Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shandong Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shandong Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shandong Gold 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shandong Gold's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shandong Gold.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shandong Gold on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shandong Gold Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shandong Gold over 30 days. Shandong Gold is related to or competes with Jiangxi JDL, Shuhua Sports, Aofu Environmental, China Sports, Shanghai Yaoji, Lingyuan Iron, and Shenzhen Noposion. More

Shandong Gold Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shandong Gold's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shandong Gold Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shandong Gold Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shandong Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shandong Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shandong Gold historical prices to predict the future Shandong Gold's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5025.5827.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.0227.9129.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.4726.5528.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.8026.1928.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shandong Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shandong Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shandong Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shandong Gold Mining.

Shandong Gold Mining Backtested Returns

Shandong Gold Mining owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which indicates the firm had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Shandong Gold Mining exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Shandong Gold's Coefficient Of Variation of (860.61), variance of 4.32, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0121, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Shandong Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Shandong Gold is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Shandong Gold Mining has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to validate Shandong Gold's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Shandong Gold Mining performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Shandong Gold Mining has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shandong Gold time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shandong Gold Mining price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Shandong Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Shandong Gold Mining lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shandong Gold stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shandong Gold's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shandong Gold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shandong Gold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shandong Gold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shandong Gold stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shandong Gold stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shandong Gold stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shandong Gold Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shandong Gold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shandong Gold stock have on its future price. Shandong Gold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shandong Gold autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shandong Gold stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shandong Gold Mining.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Shandong Stock

Shandong Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shandong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shandong with respect to the benefits of owning Shandong Gold security.