Dr Peng (China) Market Value

600804 Stock   2.01  0.10  5.24%   
Dr Peng's market value is the price at which a share of Dr Peng trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dr Peng Telecom investors about its performance. Dr Peng is trading at 2.01 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 5.24 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dr Peng Telecom and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dr Peng over a given investment horizon. Check out Dr Peng Correlation, Dr Peng Volatility and Dr Peng Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dr Peng.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dr Peng's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dr Peng is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dr Peng's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dr Peng 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dr Peng's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dr Peng.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dr Peng on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dr Peng Telecom or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dr Peng over 30 days. Dr Peng is related to or competes with Chengdu Kanghua, Beijing Wantai, Suzhou Novoprotein, Aluminum Corp, COL Digital, Shaanxi Meineng, and Gansu Huangtai. Dr Peng is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Dr Peng Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dr Peng's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dr Peng Telecom upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dr Peng Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dr Peng's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dr Peng's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dr Peng historical prices to predict the future Dr Peng's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.976.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.565.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.856.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Dr Peng Telecom Backtested Returns

Dr Peng appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Dr Peng Telecom retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which denotes the company had a 0.18% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. By reviewing Dr Peng's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.75% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Dr Peng's Standard Deviation of 4.01, downside deviation of 4.43, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 40.91 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Dr Peng holds a performance score of 14. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.016, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dr Peng's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dr Peng is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Dr Peng's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Dr Peng's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.59  

Good reverse predictability

Dr Peng Telecom has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dr Peng time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dr Peng Telecom price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Dr Peng price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.59
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Dr Peng Telecom lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dr Peng stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dr Peng's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dr Peng returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dr Peng has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dr Peng regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dr Peng stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dr Peng stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dr Peng stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dr Peng Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dr Peng's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dr Peng stock have on its future price. Dr Peng autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dr Peng autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dr Peng stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dr Peng Telecom.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 600804 Stock

Dr Peng financial ratios help investors to determine whether 600804 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 600804 with respect to the benefits of owning Dr Peng security.