Chongqing Gas (China) Market Value

600917 Stock   6.32  0.09  1.40%   
Chongqing Gas' market value is the price at which a share of Chongqing Gas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chongqing Gas Grp investors about its performance. Chongqing Gas is trading at 6.32 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 1.4 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.41.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chongqing Gas Grp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chongqing Gas over a given investment horizon. Check out Chongqing Gas Correlation, Chongqing Gas Volatility and Chongqing Gas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chongqing Gas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chongqing Gas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chongqing Gas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chongqing Gas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chongqing Gas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chongqing Gas' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chongqing Gas.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chongqing Gas on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chongqing Gas Grp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chongqing Gas over 90 days. Chongqing Gas is related to or competes with Zhejiang Yayi, Shandong Hongchuang, Guangdong Jingyi, Jilin Jlu, Jahen Household, Haima Automobile, and Sino Platinum. More

Chongqing Gas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chongqing Gas' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chongqing Gas Grp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chongqing Gas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chongqing Gas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chongqing Gas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chongqing Gas historical prices to predict the future Chongqing Gas' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.006.328.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.826.148.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.856.168.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.946.296.65
Details

Chongqing Gas Grp Backtested Returns

Chongqing Gas appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Chongqing Gas Grp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Chongqing Gas Grp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Chongqing Gas' Mean Deviation of 1.58, risk adjusted performance of 0.121, and Downside Deviation of 2.31 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Chongqing Gas holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.31, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Chongqing Gas' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chongqing Gas is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Chongqing Gas' standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Chongqing Gas' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.86  

Very good predictability

Chongqing Gas Grp has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chongqing Gas time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chongqing Gas Grp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Chongqing Gas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.86
Spearman Rank Test0.78
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Chongqing Gas Grp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chongqing Gas stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chongqing Gas' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chongqing Gas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chongqing Gas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chongqing Gas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chongqing Gas stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chongqing Gas stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chongqing Gas stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chongqing Gas Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chongqing Gas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chongqing Gas stock have on its future price. Chongqing Gas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chongqing Gas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chongqing Gas stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chongqing Gas Grp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Chongqing Stock

Chongqing Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chongqing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chongqing with respect to the benefits of owning Chongqing Gas security.