Dongxing Sec (China) Market Value

601198 Stock   10.62  0.48  4.32%   
Dongxing Sec's market value is the price at which a share of Dongxing Sec trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dongxing Sec Co investors about its performance. Dongxing Sec is trading at 10.62 as of the 31st of January 2025, a 4.32 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 11.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dongxing Sec Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dongxing Sec over a given investment horizon. Check out Dongxing Sec Correlation, Dongxing Sec Volatility and Dongxing Sec Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dongxing Sec.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dongxing Sec's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dongxing Sec is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dongxing Sec's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dongxing Sec 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dongxing Sec's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dongxing Sec.
0.00
01/01/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dongxing Sec on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dongxing Sec Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dongxing Sec over 30 days. Dongxing Sec is related to or competes with Southern PublishingMedia, Wasu Media, Wonders Information, Guangzhou Ruoyuchen, Sublime China, Longmaster Information, and Bonree Data. Dongxing Sec is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Dongxing Sec Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dongxing Sec's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dongxing Sec Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dongxing Sec Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dongxing Sec's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dongxing Sec's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dongxing Sec historical prices to predict the future Dongxing Sec's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7610.6213.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.489.3412.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.4311.2914.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1711.1712.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongxing Sec. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongxing Sec's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongxing Sec's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongxing Sec.

Dongxing Sec Backtested Returns

Dongxing Sec secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0797, which denotes the company had a -0.0797 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Dongxing Sec Co exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dongxing Sec's Coefficient Of Variation of 3610.29, downside deviation of 3.05, and Mean Deviation of 2.26 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.69, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dongxing Sec are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dongxing Sec is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Dongxing Sec has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm Dongxing Sec's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Dongxing Sec performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.46  

Modest reverse predictability

Dongxing Sec Co has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dongxing Sec time series from 1st of January 2025 to 16th of January 2025 and 16th of January 2025 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dongxing Sec price movement. The serial correlation of -0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Dongxing Sec price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.46
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Dongxing Sec lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dongxing Sec stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dongxing Sec's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dongxing Sec returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dongxing Sec has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dongxing Sec regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dongxing Sec stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dongxing Sec stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dongxing Sec stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dongxing Sec Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dongxing Sec's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dongxing Sec stock have on its future price. Dongxing Sec autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dongxing Sec autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dongxing Sec stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dongxing Sec Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dongxing Stock

Dongxing Sec financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongxing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongxing with respect to the benefits of owning Dongxing Sec security.