Dawning Information (China) Market Value

603019 Stock   74.85  2.85  3.67%   
Dawning Information's market value is the price at which a share of Dawning Information trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dawning Information Industry investors about its performance. Dawning Information is trading at 74.85 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 3.67 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 77.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dawning Information Industry and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dawning Information over a given investment horizon. Check out Dawning Information Correlation, Dawning Information Volatility and Dawning Information Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dawning Information.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dawning Information's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dawning Information is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dawning Information's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dawning Information 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dawning Information's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dawning Information.
0.00
09/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dawning Information on September 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dawning Information Industry or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dawning Information over 60 days. Dawning Information is related to or competes with Agricultural Bank, Industrial, Bank of China, China Construction, China Merchants, PetroChina, and Industrial Bank. Dawning Information is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Dawning Information Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dawning Information's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dawning Information Industry upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dawning Information Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dawning Information's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dawning Information's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dawning Information historical prices to predict the future Dawning Information's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.9569.3382.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.0966.4782.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.7170.0974.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.240.27
Details

Dawning Information Backtested Returns

Dawning Information is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Dawning Information secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.31, which denotes the company had a 0.31% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.36% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Dawning Information Coefficient Of Variation of 398.69, mean deviation of 3.3, and Downside Deviation of 3.21 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Dawning Information holds a performance score of 24 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.25, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dawning Information's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dawning Information is expected to be smaller as well. Use Dawning Information jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to analyze future returns on Dawning Information.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Dawning Information Industry has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dawning Information time series from 24th of September 2024 to 24th of October 2024 and 24th of October 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dawning Information price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Dawning Information price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance109.64

Dawning Information lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dawning Information stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dawning Information's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dawning Information returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dawning Information has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dawning Information regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dawning Information stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dawning Information stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dawning Information stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dawning Information Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dawning Information's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dawning Information stock have on its future price. Dawning Information autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dawning Information autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dawning Information stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dawning Information Industry.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Dawning Stock

Dawning Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dawning Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dawning with respect to the benefits of owning Dawning Information security.