China Kings (China) Market Value

603505 Stock   23.95  0.16  0.67%   
China Kings' market value is the price at which a share of China Kings trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Kings Resources investors about its performance. China Kings is trading at 23.95 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 0.67% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 23.79.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Kings Resources and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Kings over a given investment horizon. Check out China Kings Correlation, China Kings Volatility and China Kings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Kings.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Kings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Kings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Kings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Kings 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Kings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Kings.
0.00
01/07/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 10 months and 26 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Kings on January 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Kings Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Kings over 330 days. China Kings is related to or competes with China National, Semiconductor Manufacturing, Long Yuan, Shenzhen Clou, Epoxy Base, Servyou Software, and Aurora Optoelectronics. More

China Kings Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Kings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Kings Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Kings Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Kings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Kings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Kings historical prices to predict the future China Kings' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0123.9526.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9620.9026.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8721.8124.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.7825.9229.07
Details

China Kings Resources Backtested Returns

At this point, China Kings is not too volatile. China Kings Resources secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0351, which signifies that the company had a 0.0351% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for China Kings Resources, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm China Kings' Downside Deviation of 2.42, risk adjusted performance of 0.0342, and Mean Deviation of 2.13 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. China Kings has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.37, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning China Kings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, China Kings is likely to outperform the market. China Kings Resources right now shows a risk of 2.94%. Please confirm China Kings Resources downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if China Kings Resources will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

China Kings Resources has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Kings time series from 7th of January 2024 to 20th of June 2024 and 20th of June 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Kings Resources price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current China Kings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.01

China Kings Resources lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Kings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Kings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Kings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Kings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Kings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Kings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Kings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Kings stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Kings Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Kings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Kings stock have on its future price. China Kings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Kings autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Kings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Kings Resources.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Kings financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Kings security.