Compal Broadband (Taiwan) Market Value

6674 Stock  TWD 27.65  0.95  3.32%   
Compal Broadband's market value is the price at which a share of Compal Broadband trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Compal Broadband Networks investors about its performance. Compal Broadband is selling for under 27.65 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 3.32 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 27.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Compal Broadband Networks and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Compal Broadband over a given investment horizon. Check out Compal Broadband Correlation, Compal Broadband Volatility and Compal Broadband Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Compal Broadband.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Compal Broadband's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Compal Broadband is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Compal Broadband's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Compal Broadband 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Compal Broadband's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Compal Broadband.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Compal Broadband on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Compal Broadband Networks or generate 0.0% return on investment in Compal Broadband over 30 days. Compal Broadband is related to or competes with Accton Technology, Wistron NeWeb, Arcadyan Technology, Sercomm Corp, Alpha Networks, and Gemtek Technology. Compal Broadband Networks, Inc. provides networking, home security, and home entertainment products in Taiwan and intern... More

Compal Broadband Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Compal Broadband's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Compal Broadband Networks upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Compal Broadband Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Compal Broadband's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Compal Broadband's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Compal Broadband historical prices to predict the future Compal Broadband's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7327.6530.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2523.1730.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.5228.4431.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.0327.3831.74
Details

Compal Broadband Networks Backtested Returns

Compal Broadband appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Compal Broadband Networks secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0775, which signifies that the company had a 0.0775% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Compal Broadband Networks, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Compal Broadband's Downside Deviation of 2.46, mean deviation of 1.82, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0713 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Compal Broadband holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.46, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Compal Broadband are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Compal Broadband is likely to outperform the market. Please check Compal Broadband's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Compal Broadband's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

Compal Broadband Networks has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Compal Broadband time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Compal Broadband Networks price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Compal Broadband price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.85

Compal Broadband Networks lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Compal Broadband stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Compal Broadband's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Compal Broadband returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Compal Broadband has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Compal Broadband regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Compal Broadband stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Compal Broadband stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Compal Broadband stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Compal Broadband Lagged Returns

When evaluating Compal Broadband's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Compal Broadband stock have on its future price. Compal Broadband autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Compal Broadband autocorrelation shows the relationship between Compal Broadband stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Compal Broadband Networks.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Compal Stock Analysis

When running Compal Broadband's price analysis, check to measure Compal Broadband's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compal Broadband is operating at the current time. Most of Compal Broadband's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compal Broadband's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compal Broadband's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compal Broadband to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.