Algonquin Power (Germany) Market Value

751 Stock  EUR 4.47  0.03  0.67%   
Algonquin Power's market value is the price at which a share of Algonquin Power trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Algonquin Power Utilities investors about its performance. Algonquin Power is trading at 4.47 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 0.67% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Algonquin Power Utilities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Algonquin Power over a given investment horizon. Check out Algonquin Power Correlation, Algonquin Power Volatility and Algonquin Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Algonquin Power.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Algonquin Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Algonquin Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Algonquin Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Algonquin Power 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Algonquin Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Algonquin Power.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Algonquin Power on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Algonquin Power Utilities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Algonquin Power over 30 days. Algonquin Power is related to or competes with Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Talanx AG, NorAm Drilling, and Identiv. Algonquin Power Utilities Corp., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates a portfolio of regulated and non-regulated ... More

Algonquin Power Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Algonquin Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Algonquin Power Utilities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Algonquin Power Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Algonquin Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Algonquin Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Algonquin Power historical prices to predict the future Algonquin Power's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.994.475.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.074.546.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.014.495.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.284.474.66
Details

Algonquin Power Utilities Backtested Returns

Algonquin Power Utilities secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0497, which signifies that the company had a -0.0497% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Algonquin Power Utilities exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Algonquin Power's mean deviation of 1.14, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.37, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Algonquin Power's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Algonquin Power is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Algonquin Power Utilities has a negative expected return of -0.073%. Please make sure to confirm Algonquin Power's mean deviation, standard deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and variance , to decide if Algonquin Power Utilities performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

Algonquin Power Utilities has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Algonquin Power time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Algonquin Power Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Algonquin Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Algonquin Power Utilities lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Algonquin Power stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Algonquin Power's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Algonquin Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Algonquin Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Algonquin Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Algonquin Power stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Algonquin Power stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Algonquin Power stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Algonquin Power Lagged Returns

When evaluating Algonquin Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Algonquin Power stock have on its future price. Algonquin Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Algonquin Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Algonquin Power stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Algonquin Power Utilities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Algonquin Stock

When determining whether Algonquin Power Utilities offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Algonquin Power's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Algonquin Power Utilities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Algonquin Power Utilities Stock:
Check out Algonquin Power Correlation, Algonquin Power Volatility and Algonquin Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Algonquin Power.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Algonquin Power technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Algonquin Power technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Algonquin Power trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...