Alexander Marine (Taiwan) Market Value

8478 Stock   241.00  1.00  0.41%   
Alexander Marine's market value is the price at which a share of Alexander Marine trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alexander Marine Co investors about its performance. Alexander Marine is selling for under 241.00 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.41 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 241.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alexander Marine Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alexander Marine over a given investment horizon. Check out Alexander Marine Correlation, Alexander Marine Volatility and Alexander Marine Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alexander Marine.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alexander Marine's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alexander Marine is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alexander Marine's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alexander Marine 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alexander Marine's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alexander Marine.
0.00
05/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alexander Marine on May 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alexander Marine Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alexander Marine over 570 days. Alexander Marine is related to or competes with Giant Manufacturing, Johnson Health, Sports Gear, and Power Wind. More

Alexander Marine Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alexander Marine's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alexander Marine Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alexander Marine Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alexander Marine's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alexander Marine's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alexander Marine historical prices to predict the future Alexander Marine's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
239.39241.00242.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
215.00216.61265.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
224.42226.02227.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
241.00241.00241.00
Details

Alexander Marine Backtested Returns

Alexander Marine secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.23, which signifies that the company had a -0.23% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alexander Marine Co exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alexander Marine's mean deviation of 1.19, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.18) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alexander Marine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alexander Marine is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Alexander Marine has a negative expected return of -0.36%. Please make sure to confirm Alexander Marine's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Alexander Marine performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Alexander Marine Co has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alexander Marine time series from 4th of May 2023 to 13th of February 2024 and 13th of February 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alexander Marine price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Alexander Marine price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1815.1

Alexander Marine lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alexander Marine stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alexander Marine's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alexander Marine returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alexander Marine has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alexander Marine regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alexander Marine stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alexander Marine stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alexander Marine stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alexander Marine Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alexander Marine's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alexander Marine stock have on its future price. Alexander Marine autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alexander Marine autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alexander Marine stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alexander Marine Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Alexander Stock Analysis

When running Alexander Marine's price analysis, check to measure Alexander Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alexander Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Alexander Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alexander Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alexander Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alexander Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.