88 Energy (Australia) Market Value
| 88E Stock | 0 0 50.00% |
| Symbol | 88E |
88 Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 88 Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 88 Energy.
| 08/29/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 88 Energy on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 88 Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in 88 Energy over 90 days. 88 Energy is related to or competes with Regal Investment, Autosports, ARN Media, and MFF Capital. More
88 Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 88 Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 88 Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 33.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0527 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 150.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (33.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 50.0 |
88 Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 88 Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 88 Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 88 Energy historical prices to predict the future 88 Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0544 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.99 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (2.27) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.036 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.24) |
88 Energy Backtested Returns
88 Energy is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. 88 Energy retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0585, which signifies that the company had a 0.0585% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.33% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use 88 Energy Coefficient Of Variation of 1710.52, market risk adjusted performance of (0.23), and Standard Deviation of 22.81 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. 88 Energy holds a performance score of 4 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -5.55, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 88 Energy are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, 88 Energy is expected to outperform it. Use 88 Energy downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to analyze future returns on 88 Energy.
Auto-correlation | 0.03 |
Virtually no predictability
88 Energy has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 88 Energy time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 88 Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current 88 Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.55 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
88 Energy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 88 Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 88 Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 88 Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 88 Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
88 Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 88 Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 88 Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 88 Energy stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
88 Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating 88 Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 88 Energy stock have on its future price. 88 Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 88 Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between 88 Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in 88 Energy.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Tools for 88E Stock Analysis
When running 88 Energy's price analysis, check to measure 88 Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 88 Energy is operating at the current time. Most of 88 Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 88 Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 88 Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 88 Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.