Atok Big (Philippines) Market Value

AB Stock   3.60  0.10  2.86%   
Atok Big's market value is the price at which a share of Atok Big trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Atok Big Wedge investors about its performance. Atok Big is trading at 3.60 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 2.86 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Atok Big Wedge and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Atok Big over a given investment horizon. Check out Atok Big Correlation, Atok Big Volatility and Atok Big Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Atok Big.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Atok Big's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atok Big is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atok Big's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Atok Big 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Atok Big's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Atok Big.
0.00
12/03/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Atok Big on December 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Atok Big Wedge or generate 0.0% return on investment in Atok Big over 360 days. Atok Big is related to or competes with Converge Information, Prime Media, Top Frontier, Cebu Air, Philex Mining, and Philippine Savings. More

Atok Big Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Atok Big's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Atok Big Wedge upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Atok Big Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Atok Big's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Atok Big's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Atok Big historical prices to predict the future Atok Big's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.607.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.237.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.217.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.444.144.84
Details

Atok Big Wedge Backtested Returns

Atok Big Wedge secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the company had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Atok Big Wedge exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Atok Big's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1), standard deviation of 4.24, and Mean Deviation of 2.94 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.25, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Atok Big are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Atok Big is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Atok Big Wedge has a negative expected return of -0.58%. Please make sure to confirm Atok Big's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Atok Big Wedge performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.3  

Weak reverse predictability

Atok Big Wedge has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Atok Big time series from 3rd of December 2023 to 31st of May 2024 and 31st of May 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Atok Big Wedge price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Atok Big price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

Atok Big Wedge lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Atok Big stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Atok Big's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Atok Big returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Atok Big has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Atok Big regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Atok Big stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Atok Big stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Atok Big stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Atok Big Lagged Returns

When evaluating Atok Big's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Atok Big stock have on its future price. Atok Big autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Atok Big autocorrelation shows the relationship between Atok Big stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Atok Big Wedge.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Atok Stock

Atok Big financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atok Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atok with respect to the benefits of owning Atok Big security.