Alphabet (Germany) Market Value

ABEA Stock   160.04  1.14  0.71%   
Alphabet's market value is the price at which a share of Alphabet trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alphabet Class A investors about its performance. Alphabet is trading at 160.04 as of the 28th of November 2024, a 0.71% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 159.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alphabet Class A and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alphabet over a given investment horizon. Check out Alphabet Correlation, Alphabet Volatility and Alphabet Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alphabet.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alphabet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alphabet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alphabet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alphabet 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alphabet's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alphabet.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alphabet on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alphabet Class A or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alphabet over 720 days. Alphabet is related to or competes with United Breweries, DAIRY FARM, Titan Machinery, Tsingtao Brewery, Daito Trust, North American, and WIMFARM SA. More

Alphabet Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alphabet's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alphabet Class A upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alphabet Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alphabet's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alphabet's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alphabet historical prices to predict the future Alphabet's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
158.30160.04161.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
150.30152.04176.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
148.88150.62152.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
155.75164.09172.43
Details

Alphabet Class A Backtested Returns

At this point, Alphabet is very steady. Alphabet Class A secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0892, which signifies that the company had a 0.0892% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Alphabet Class A, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Alphabet's Mean Deviation of 1.21, downside deviation of 2.01, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0667 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Alphabet has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.65, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alphabet's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alphabet is expected to be smaller as well. Alphabet Class A right now shows a risk of 1.74%. Please confirm Alphabet Class A standard deviation, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Alphabet Class A will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Alphabet Class A has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alphabet time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alphabet Class A price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Alphabet price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance215.79

Alphabet Class A lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alphabet stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alphabet's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alphabet returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alphabet has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alphabet regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alphabet stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alphabet stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alphabet stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alphabet Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alphabet's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alphabet stock have on its future price. Alphabet autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alphabet autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alphabet stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alphabet Class A.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Alphabet Stock

Alphabet financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alphabet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alphabet with respect to the benefits of owning Alphabet security.