Invesco Balanced Risk Allocation Fund Market Value

ABRRX Fund  USD 8.75  0.02  0.23%   
Invesco Balanced-risk's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Balanced-risk trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Balanced Risk Allocation investors about its performance. Invesco Balanced-risk is trading at 8.81 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.35% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.77.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Balanced Risk Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Balanced-risk over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Balanced-risk Correlation, Invesco Balanced-risk Volatility and Invesco Balanced-risk Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Balanced-risk.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Balanced-risk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Balanced-risk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Balanced-risk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Balanced-risk 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Balanced-risk's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Balanced-risk.
0.00
08/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Balanced-risk on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Balanced Risk Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Balanced-risk over 90 days. Invesco Balanced-risk is related to or competes with Lord Abbett, The Hartford, Goldman Sachs, Western Asset, Fidelity Sai, American Funds, and Ab Bond. The funds investment strategy is designed to provide capital loss protection during down markets by investing in multipl... More

Invesco Balanced-risk Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Balanced-risk's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Balanced Risk Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Balanced-risk Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Balanced-risk's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Balanced-risk's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Balanced-risk historical prices to predict the future Invesco Balanced-risk's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.178.759.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.208.789.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.138.729.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.618.758.89
Details

Invesco Balanced Risk Backtested Returns

Invesco Balanced Risk holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0276, which attests that the entity had a -0.0276% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invesco Balanced Risk exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invesco Balanced-risk's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.22), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Standard Deviation of 0.5831 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Balanced-risk's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Balanced-risk is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

Invesco Balanced Risk Allocation has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Balanced-risk time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Balanced Risk price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Invesco Balanced-risk price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test-0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Invesco Balanced Risk lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Balanced-risk mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Balanced-risk's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Balanced-risk returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Balanced-risk has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Balanced-risk regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Balanced-risk mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Balanced-risk mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Balanced-risk mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Balanced-risk Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Balanced-risk's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Balanced-risk mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Balanced-risk autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Balanced-risk autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Balanced-risk mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Balanced Risk Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Balanced-risk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Balanced-risk security.
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