Alger Capital Appreciation Fund Market Value

ACATX Fund  USD 7.55  0.05  0.67%   
Alger Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Alger Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alger Capital Appreciation investors about its performance. Alger Capital is trading at 7.55 as of the 31st of January 2025; that is 0.67 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alger Capital Appreciation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alger Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Alger Capital Correlation, Alger Capital Volatility and Alger Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alger Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alger Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alger Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alger Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alger Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alger Capital's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alger Capital.
0.00
01/01/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alger Capital on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alger Capital Appreciation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alger Capital over 30 days. Alger Capital is related to or competes with Specialized Technology, Red Oak, Fidelity Advisor, Towpath Technology, Hennessy Technology, Global Technology, and Blackrock Science. The fund invests primarily in high quality debt securities and other debt instruments supporting low- and moderate-incom... More

Alger Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alger Capital's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alger Capital Appreciation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alger Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alger Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alger Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alger Capital historical prices to predict the future Alger Capital's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alger Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.207.557.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.207.557.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.227.577.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.417.547.68
Details

Alger Capital Apprec Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Alger Mutual Fund to be very steady. Alger Capital Apprec secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Alger Capital Appreciation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Alger Capital's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 0.2116 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0028%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0254, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alger Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alger Capital is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.2  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Alger Capital Appreciation has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alger Capital time series from 1st of January 2025 to 16th of January 2025 and 16th of January 2025 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alger Capital Apprec price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Alger Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Alger Capital Apprec lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alger Capital mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alger Capital's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alger Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alger Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alger Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alger Capital mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alger Capital mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alger Capital mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alger Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alger Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alger Capital mutual fund have on its future price. Alger Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alger Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alger Capital mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alger Capital Appreciation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger Capital security.
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