Adgar Investments (Israel) Market Value

ADGR Stock  ILS 500.00  2.20  0.44%   
Adgar Investments' market value is the price at which a share of Adgar Investments trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Adgar Investments and investors about its performance. Adgar Investments is trading at 500.00 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 0.44 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 497.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Adgar Investments and and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Adgar Investments over a given investment horizon. Check out Adgar Investments Correlation, Adgar Investments Volatility and Adgar Investments Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Adgar Investments.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Adgar Investments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adgar Investments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adgar Investments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Adgar Investments 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adgar Investments' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adgar Investments.
0.00
11/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Adgar Investments on November 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adgar Investments and or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adgar Investments over 360 days. Adgar Investments is related to or competes with Israel Canada, Azrieli, Delek, Shikun Binui, and Israel Discount. Adgar Investments and Development Limited engages in the real estate activities More

Adgar Investments Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adgar Investments' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adgar Investments and upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Adgar Investments Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adgar Investments' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adgar Investments' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adgar Investments historical prices to predict the future Adgar Investments' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
498.42500.00501.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
431.10432.68550.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
492.99494.57496.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
497.19499.27501.34
Details

Adgar Investments Backtested Returns

Adgar Investments appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Adgar Investments secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Adgar Investments and, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Adgar Investments' mean deviation of 1.56, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0643 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Adgar Investments holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Adgar Investments' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adgar Investments is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Adgar Investments' semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Adgar Investments' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

Adgar Investments and has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adgar Investments time series from 29th of November 2023 to 27th of May 2024 and 27th of May 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adgar Investments price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Adgar Investments price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance448.99

Adgar Investments lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Adgar Investments stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Adgar Investments' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Adgar Investments returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Adgar Investments has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Adgar Investments regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Adgar Investments stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Adgar Investments stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Adgar Investments stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Adgar Investments Lagged Returns

When evaluating Adgar Investments' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Adgar Investments stock have on its future price. Adgar Investments autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Adgar Investments autocorrelation shows the relationship between Adgar Investments stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Adgar Investments and.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Adgar Stock

Adgar Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adgar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adgar with respect to the benefits of owning Adgar Investments security.