Adris Grupa (Croatia) Market Value

ADRS Stock   81.50  0.00  0.00%   
Adris Grupa's market value is the price at which a share of Adris Grupa trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Adris Grupa dd investors about its performance. Adris Grupa is selling for under 81.50 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 81.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Adris Grupa dd and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Adris Grupa over a given investment horizon. Check out Adris Grupa Correlation, Adris Grupa Volatility and Adris Grupa Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Adris Grupa.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Adris Grupa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adris Grupa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adris Grupa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Adris Grupa 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adris Grupa's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adris Grupa.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Adris Grupa on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adris Grupa dd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adris Grupa over 30 days. Adris Grupa is related to or competes with Adris Grupa, AD Plastik, Hrvatska Postanska, Dalekovod, Podravka Prehrambena, and Zagrebacka Banka. More

Adris Grupa Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adris Grupa's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adris Grupa dd upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Adris Grupa Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adris Grupa's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adris Grupa's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adris Grupa historical prices to predict the future Adris Grupa's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.1181.5082.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.5567.9489.65
Details

Adris Grupa dd Backtested Returns

Adris Grupa dd secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0038, which signifies that the company had a -0.0038% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Adris Grupa dd exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Adris Grupa's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0146, downside deviation of 1.52, and Mean Deviation of 1.01 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.25, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Adris Grupa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adris Grupa is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Adris Grupa dd has a negative expected return of -0.0052%. Please make sure to confirm Adris Grupa's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Adris Grupa dd performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

Adris Grupa dd has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adris Grupa time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adris Grupa dd price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Adris Grupa price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test0.83
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.5

Adris Grupa dd lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Adris Grupa stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Adris Grupa's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Adris Grupa returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Adris Grupa has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Adris Grupa regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Adris Grupa stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Adris Grupa stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Adris Grupa stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Adris Grupa Lagged Returns

When evaluating Adris Grupa's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Adris Grupa stock have on its future price. Adris Grupa autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Adris Grupa autocorrelation shows the relationship between Adris Grupa stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Adris Grupa dd.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Adris Stock Analysis

When running Adris Grupa's price analysis, check to measure Adris Grupa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adris Grupa is operating at the current time. Most of Adris Grupa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adris Grupa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adris Grupa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adris Grupa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.