Adtran Inc Stock Market Value
| ADTN Stock | USD 9.55 0.35 3.54% |
| Symbol | ADTRAN |
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADTRAN. If investors know ADTRAN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ADTRAN listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Earnings Share (0.96) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.227 | Return On Assets |
The market value of ADTRAN Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADTRAN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADTRAN's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADTRAN's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ADTRAN's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADTRAN's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ADTRAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADTRAN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADTRAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
ADTRAN 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ADTRAN's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ADTRAN.
| 10/28/2025 |
| 01/26/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ADTRAN on October 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ADTRAN Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in ADTRAN over 90 days. ADTRAN is related to or competes with Gilat Satellite, Alpha, NETGEAR, Ituran Location, Corsair Gaming, Yimutian American, and PowerFleet. ADTRAN Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides end-to-end fiber networking solutions for communications servi... More
ADTRAN Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ADTRAN's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ADTRAN Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0174 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.13 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.97 |
ADTRAN Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ADTRAN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ADTRAN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ADTRAN historical prices to predict the future ADTRAN's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0351 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.0009) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0144 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0679 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADTRAN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ADTRAN January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0351 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0779 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.48 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2719.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.05 | |||
| Variance | 16.42 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0174 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.0009) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0144 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0679 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.13 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.59) | |||
| Skewness | (3.21) | |||
| Kurtosis | 19.33 |
ADTRAN Inc Backtested Returns
ADTRAN Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ADTRAN Inc exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ADTRAN's mean deviation of 2.45, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0351 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.05, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ADTRAN will likely underperform. At this point, ADTRAN Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0303%. Please make sure to confirm ADTRAN's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if ADTRAN Inc performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.33 |
Poor reverse predictability
ADTRAN Inc has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ADTRAN time series from 28th of October 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ADTRAN Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current ADTRAN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.33 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.15 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Pair Trading with ADTRAN
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ADTRAN position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ADTRAN will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with ADTRAN Stock
Moving against ADTRAN Stock
| 0.4 | CSCO | Cisco Systems | PairCorr |
| 0.34 | TLK | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | TLKMF | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ADTRAN could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ADTRAN when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ADTRAN - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ADTRAN Inc to buy it.
The correlation of ADTRAN is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ADTRAN moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ADTRAN Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ADTRAN can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out ADTRAN Correlation, ADTRAN Volatility and ADTRAN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ADTRAN. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
ADTRAN technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.