Advani Hotels (India) Market Value

ADVANIHOTR   66.10  0.25  0.38%   
Advani Hotels' market value is the price at which a share of Advani Hotels trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Advani Hotels Resorts investors about its performance. Advani Hotels is trading at 66.10 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 0.38 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 66.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Advani Hotels Resorts and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Advani Hotels over a given investment horizon. Check out Advani Hotels Correlation, Advani Hotels Volatility and Advani Hotels Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Advani Hotels.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Advani Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advani Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advani Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Advani Hotels 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Advani Hotels' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Advani Hotels.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Advani Hotels on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Advani Hotels Resorts or generate 0.0% return on investment in Advani Hotels over 30 days. Advani Hotels is related to or competes with MMTC, Kingfa Science, Rico Auto, GACM Technologies, COSMO FIRST, Delta Manufacturing, and Tribhovandas Bhimji. Advani Hotels is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Advani Hotels Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Advani Hotels' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Advani Hotels Resorts upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Advani Hotels Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Advani Hotels' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Advani Hotels' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Advani Hotels historical prices to predict the future Advani Hotels' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.7765.9668.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.7557.9472.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.8364.0266.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.0566.7670.46
Details

Advani Hotels Resorts Backtested Returns

Advani Hotels Resorts secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0797, which signifies that the company had a -0.0797% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Advani Hotels Resorts exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Advani Hotels' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), standard deviation of 2.15, and Mean Deviation of 1.59 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.31, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Advani Hotels are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Advani Hotels is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Advani Hotels Resorts has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to confirm Advani Hotels' skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Advani Hotels Resorts performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

Advani Hotels Resorts has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Advani Hotels time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Advani Hotels Resorts price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Advani Hotels price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.97

Advani Hotels Resorts lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Advani Hotels stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Advani Hotels' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Advani Hotels returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Advani Hotels has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Advani Hotels regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Advani Hotels stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Advani Hotels stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Advani Hotels stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Advani Hotels Lagged Returns

When evaluating Advani Hotels' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Advani Hotels stock have on its future price. Advani Hotels autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Advani Hotels autocorrelation shows the relationship between Advani Hotels stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Advani Hotels Resorts.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Advani Stock

Advani Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advani Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advani with respect to the benefits of owning Advani Hotels security.