Aevis Victoria (Switzerland) Market Value

AEVS Stock  CHF 13.80  0.20  1.43%   
Aevis Victoria's market value is the price at which a share of Aevis Victoria trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aevis Victoria SA investors about its performance. Aevis Victoria is selling for under 13.80 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 1.43% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 13.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aevis Victoria SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aevis Victoria over a given investment horizon. Check out Aevis Victoria Correlation, Aevis Victoria Volatility and Aevis Victoria Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aevis Victoria.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aevis Victoria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aevis Victoria is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aevis Victoria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aevis Victoria 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aevis Victoria's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aevis Victoria.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aevis Victoria on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aevis Victoria SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aevis Victoria over 540 days. Aevis Victoria is related to or competes with Bachem Holding, COSMO Pharmaceuticals, Ypsomed Holding, Siegfried Holding, and Bossard Holding. Aevis Victoria SA provides services to healthcare, lifestyle, and infrastructure sectors in Switzerland More

Aevis Victoria Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aevis Victoria's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aevis Victoria SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aevis Victoria Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aevis Victoria's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aevis Victoria's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aevis Victoria historical prices to predict the future Aevis Victoria's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2313.8015.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8511.4215.18
Details

Aevis Victoria SA Backtested Returns

Aevis Victoria SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0346, which signifies that the company had a -0.0346% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Aevis Victoria SA exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aevis Victoria's Mean Deviation of 0.8464, standard deviation of 1.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aevis Victoria are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aevis Victoria is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Aevis Victoria SA has a negative expected return of -0.0542%. Please make sure to confirm Aevis Victoria's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Aevis Victoria SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Aevis Victoria SA has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aevis Victoria time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aevis Victoria SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Aevis Victoria price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.77

Aevis Victoria SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aevis Victoria stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aevis Victoria's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aevis Victoria returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aevis Victoria has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aevis Victoria regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aevis Victoria stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aevis Victoria stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aevis Victoria stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aevis Victoria Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aevis Victoria's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aevis Victoria stock have on its future price. Aevis Victoria autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aevis Victoria autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aevis Victoria stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aevis Victoria SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Aevis Stock Analysis

When running Aevis Victoria's price analysis, check to measure Aevis Victoria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aevis Victoria is operating at the current time. Most of Aevis Victoria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aevis Victoria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aevis Victoria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aevis Victoria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.