Focused International Growth Fund Market Value

AFCNX Fund  USD 16.76  0.05  0.30%   
Focused International's market value is the price at which a share of Focused International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Focused International Growth investors about its performance. Focused International is trading at 16.76 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.30 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.71.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Focused International Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Focused International over a given investment horizon. Check out Focused International Correlation, Focused International Volatility and Focused International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Focused International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Focused International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Focused International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Focused International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Focused International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Focused International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Focused International.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Focused International on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Focused International Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Focused International over 30 days. Focused International is related to or competes with Focused International, and Focused International. The fund invests primarily in securities of companies located in at least three developed countries world-wide More

Focused International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Focused International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Focused International Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Focused International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Focused International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Focused International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Focused International historical prices to predict the future Focused International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7716.7117.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8015.7418.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.7916.7317.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3216.8817.44
Details

Focused International Backtested Returns

Focused International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0844, which denotes the fund had a -0.0844% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Focused International Growth exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Focused International's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,267), standard deviation of 0.9311, and Mean Deviation of 0.7195 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.69, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Focused International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Focused International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.49  

Average predictability

Focused International Growth has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Focused International time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Focused International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Focused International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.49
Spearman Rank Test-0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Focused International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Focused International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Focused International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Focused International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Focused International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Focused International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Focused International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Focused International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Focused International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Focused International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Focused International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Focused International mutual fund have on its future price. Focused International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Focused International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Focused International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Focused International Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Focused Mutual Fund

Focused International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Focused Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Focused with respect to the benefits of owning Focused International security.
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