Agf Management Limited Stock Market Value

AGFMF Stock  USD 8.00  0.31  4.03%   
AGF Management's market value is the price at which a share of AGF Management trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AGF Management Limited investors about its performance. AGF Management is trading at 8.00 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 4.03 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AGF Management Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AGF Management over a given investment horizon. Check out AGF Management Correlation, AGF Management Volatility and AGF Management Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AGF Management.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AGF Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGF Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGF Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AGF Management 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AGF Management's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AGF Management.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AGF Management on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AGF Management Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in AGF Management over 30 days. AGF Management is related to or competes with Invesco High, Blackrock Muniholdings, MFS Investment, and Federated Premier. AGF Management Limited is a publicly owned asset management holding company More

AGF Management Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AGF Management's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AGF Management Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AGF Management Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AGF Management's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AGF Management's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AGF Management historical prices to predict the future AGF Management's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.018.009.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.778.7610.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.847.839.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.707.938.17
Details

AGF Management Backtested Returns

AGF Management appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. AGF Management secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.27, which signifies that the company had a 0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating AGF Management's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.55% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of AGF Management's Downside Deviation of 2.04, mean deviation of 1.35, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1809 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, AGF Management holds a performance score of 21. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.37, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AGF Management's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AGF Management is expected to be smaller as well. Please check AGF Management's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether AGF Management's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.54  

Good reverse predictability

AGF Management Limited has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AGF Management time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AGF Management price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current AGF Management price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.54
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

AGF Management lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AGF Management pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AGF Management's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AGF Management returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AGF Management has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AGF Management regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AGF Management pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AGF Management pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AGF Management pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AGF Management Lagged Returns

When evaluating AGF Management's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AGF Management pink sheet have on its future price. AGF Management autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AGF Management autocorrelation shows the relationship between AGF Management pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AGF Management Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in AGF Pink Sheet

AGF Management financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGF with respect to the benefits of owning AGF Management security.