Air Liquide (France) Market Value

AI Stock  EUR 158.96  1.28  0.80%   
Air Liquide's market value is the price at which a share of Air Liquide trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Air Liquide SA investors about its performance. Air Liquide is trading at 158.96 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 0.8% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 160.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Air Liquide SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Air Liquide over a given investment horizon. Check out Air Liquide Correlation, Air Liquide Volatility and Air Liquide Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Air Liquide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Liquide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Liquide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Liquide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Air Liquide 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Air Liquide's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Air Liquide.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Air Liquide on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Air Liquide SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Air Liquide over 30 days. Air Liquide is related to or competes with Sanofi SA, LOreal SA, Vinci SA, Schneider Electric, and Danone SA. LAir Liquide S.A. provides gases, technologies, and services for the industrial and health sectors in Europe, the Americ... More

Air Liquide Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Air Liquide's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Air Liquide SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Air Liquide Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Air Liquide's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Air Liquide's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Air Liquide historical prices to predict the future Air Liquide's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
157.83158.96160.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
143.06163.04164.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
158.29159.41160.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
157.38160.42163.45
Details

Air Liquide SA Backtested Returns

Air Liquide SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0646, which signifies that the company had a -0.0646% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Air Liquide SA exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Air Liquide's Mean Deviation of 0.8788, standard deviation of 1.11, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Air Liquide's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Air Liquide is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Air Liquide SA has a negative expected return of -0.0727%. Please make sure to confirm Air Liquide's kurtosis, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if Air Liquide SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Air Liquide SA has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Air Liquide time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Air Liquide SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Air Liquide price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.4

Air Liquide SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Air Liquide stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Air Liquide's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Air Liquide returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Air Liquide has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Air Liquide regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Air Liquide stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Air Liquide stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Air Liquide stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Air Liquide Lagged Returns

When evaluating Air Liquide's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Air Liquide stock have on its future price. Air Liquide autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Air Liquide autocorrelation shows the relationship between Air Liquide stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Air Liquide SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Air Stock

Air Liquide financial ratios help investors to determine whether Air Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Air with respect to the benefits of owning Air Liquide security.