Air China Limited Stock Market Value

AICAF Stock  USD 0.59  0.09  18.00%   
Air China's market value is the price at which a share of Air China trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Air China Limited investors about its performance. Air China is trading at 0.59 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 18.00 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Air China Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Air China over a given investment horizon. Check out Air China Correlation, Air China Volatility and Air China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Air China.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Air China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Air China 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Air China's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Air China.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Air China on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Air China Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Air China over 30 days. Air China is related to or competes with Finnair Oyj, EasyJet Plc, Norse Atlantic, Air New, Air France-KLM, and AirAsia Group. Air China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air passenger, air cargo, and airline-related services in Ma... More

Air China Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Air China's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Air China Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Air China Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Air China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Air China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Air China historical prices to predict the future Air China's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.594.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.473.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.574.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.460.510.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air China. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air China's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air China's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Air China Limited.

Air China Limited Backtested Returns

Air China appears to be abnormally volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Air China Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0999, which signifies that the company had a 0.0999% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty technical indicators for Air China Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Air China's Mean Deviation of 1.23, risk adjusted performance of 0.083, and Standard Deviation of 3.43 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Air China holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.7, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Air China's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Air China is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Air China's total risk alpha, daily balance of power, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Air China's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.00  

No correlation between past and present

Air China Limited has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Air China time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Air China Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Air China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Air China Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Air China pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Air China's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Air China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Air China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Air China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Air China pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Air China pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Air China pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Air China Lagged Returns

When evaluating Air China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Air China pink sheet have on its future price. Air China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Air China autocorrelation shows the relationship between Air China pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Air China Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Air Pink Sheet

Air China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Air Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Air with respect to the benefits of owning Air China security.