Diversified Municipal Portfolio Fund Market Value
| AIDYX Fund | USD 13.94 0.01 0.07% |
| Symbol | Diversified |
Diversified Municipal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Diversified Municipal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Diversified Municipal.
| 12/08/2022 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Diversified Municipal on December 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Diversified Municipal Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Diversified Municipal over 720 days. Diversified Municipal is related to or competes with Us Government, Prudential Government, Fidelity Series, Blackrock, Lord Abbett, and John Hancock. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities More
Diversified Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Diversified Municipal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Diversified Municipal Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.2103 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.86) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.8621 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2165 |
Diversified Municipal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Diversified Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Diversified Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Diversified Municipal historical prices to predict the future Diversified Municipal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.61) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1478 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diversified Municipal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Diversified Municipal Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Diversified Mutual Fund to be very steady. Diversified Municipal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0155, which denotes the fund had a 0.0155% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Diversified Municipal Portfolio, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Diversified Municipal's Coefficient Of Variation of 6546.98, downside deviation of 0.2103, and Mean Deviation of 0.0921 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0024%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0522, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Diversified Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Diversified Municipal is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.2 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Diversified Municipal Portfolio has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Diversified Municipal time series from 8th of December 2022 to 3rd of December 2023 and 3rd of December 2023 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Diversified Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Diversified Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Diversified Municipal lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Diversified Municipal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Diversified Municipal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Diversified Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Diversified Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Diversified Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Diversified Municipal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Diversified Municipal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Diversified Municipal mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Diversified Municipal Lagged Returns
When evaluating Diversified Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Diversified Municipal mutual fund have on its future price. Diversified Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Diversified Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Diversified Municipal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Diversified Municipal Portfolio.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Diversified Mutual Fund
Diversified Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Diversified Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Diversified with respect to the benefits of owning Diversified Municipal security.
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