Limited Duration Fund Market Value

AISTX Fund  USD 9.22  0.01  0.11%   
Limited Duration's market value is the price at which a share of Limited Duration trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Limited Duration Fund investors about its performance. Limited Duration is trading at 9.22 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.23.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Limited Duration Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Limited Duration over a given investment horizon. Check out Limited Duration Correlation, Limited Duration Volatility and Limited Duration Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Limited Duration.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Limited Duration's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Limited Duration is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Limited Duration's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Limited Duration 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Limited Duration's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Limited Duration.
0.00
10/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Limited Duration on October 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Limited Duration Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Limited Duration over 390 days. Limited Duration is related to or competes with Baron Health, Tekla Healthcare, Highland Long/short, Alphacentric Lifesci, Lord Abbett, Deutsche Health, and Fidelity Advisor. The fund invests primarily in debt obligations such as bonds, notes and debentures, and bills issued by U.S More

Limited Duration Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Limited Duration's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Limited Duration Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Limited Duration Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Limited Duration's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Limited Duration's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Limited Duration historical prices to predict the future Limited Duration's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Limited Duration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.099.229.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.788.9110.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.099.219.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.219.229.24
Details

Limited Duration Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider LIMITED Mutual Fund to be very steady. Limited Duration has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0142, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0142% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Limited Duration, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Limited Duration's Downside Deviation of 0.1617, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 0.0927 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0018%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0055, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Limited Duration's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Limited Duration is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.91  

Excellent predictability

Limited Duration Fund has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Limited Duration time series from 29th of October 2023 to 11th of May 2024 and 11th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Limited Duration price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Limited Duration price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.91
Spearman Rank Test0.9
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Limited Duration lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Limited Duration mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Limited Duration's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Limited Duration returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Limited Duration has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Limited Duration regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Limited Duration mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Limited Duration mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Limited Duration mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Limited Duration Lagged Returns

When evaluating Limited Duration's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Limited Duration mutual fund have on its future price. Limited Duration autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Limited Duration autocorrelation shows the relationship between Limited Duration mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Limited Duration Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in LIMITED Mutual Fund

Limited Duration financial ratios help investors to determine whether LIMITED Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LIMITED with respect to the benefits of owning Limited Duration security.
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