Agrogeneration (France) Market Value

ALAGR Stock  EUR 0.04  0.0008  1.75%   
Agrogeneration's market value is the price at which a share of Agrogeneration trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Agrogeneration investors about its performance. Agrogeneration is selling at 0.045 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 1.75% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 0.0414.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Agrogeneration and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Agrogeneration over a given investment horizon. Check out Agrogeneration Correlation, Agrogeneration Volatility and Agrogeneration Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Agrogeneration.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Agrogeneration's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agrogeneration is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agrogeneration's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Agrogeneration 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Agrogeneration's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Agrogeneration.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Agrogeneration on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Agrogeneration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Agrogeneration over 30 days. Agrogeneration is related to or competes with Acheter Louer, and DBT SA. AgroGeneration SA, an agricultural company, engages in grain and oil commodity crop farming primarily in Ukraine More

Agrogeneration Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Agrogeneration's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Agrogeneration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Agrogeneration Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Agrogeneration's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Agrogeneration's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Agrogeneration historical prices to predict the future Agrogeneration's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.055.69
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Intrinsic
Valuation
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0.000.045.68
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Agrogeneration Backtested Returns

Agrogeneration secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0385, which signifies that the company had a -0.0385% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Agrogeneration exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Agrogeneration's Mean Deviation of 3.46, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Standard Deviation of 5.56 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Agrogeneration are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Agrogeneration is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Agrogeneration has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm Agrogeneration's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Agrogeneration performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Agrogeneration has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Agrogeneration time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Agrogeneration price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Agrogeneration price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Agrogeneration lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Agrogeneration stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Agrogeneration's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Agrogeneration returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Agrogeneration has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Agrogeneration regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Agrogeneration stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Agrogeneration stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Agrogeneration stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Agrogeneration Lagged Returns

When evaluating Agrogeneration's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Agrogeneration stock have on its future price. Agrogeneration autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Agrogeneration autocorrelation shows the relationship between Agrogeneration stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Agrogeneration.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Agrogeneration Stock Analysis

When running Agrogeneration's price analysis, check to measure Agrogeneration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agrogeneration is operating at the current time. Most of Agrogeneration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agrogeneration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agrogeneration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agrogeneration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.