The Allstate Stock Market Value
| ALL Stock | USD 202.03 1.77 0.87% |
| Symbol | Allstate |
Allstate Price To Book Ratio
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allstate. If investors know Allstate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Allstate listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Dividend Share 3.65 | Earnings Share 15.47 | Revenue Per Share 236.821 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.147 |
The market value of Allstate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Allstate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Allstate's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Allstate's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Allstate's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Allstate's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Allstate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allstate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allstate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Allstate 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allstate's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allstate.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Allstate on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Allstate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allstate over 30 days. Allstate is related to or competes with Chubb, Travelers Companies, W R, Markel, Progressive Corp, Cincinnati Financial, and RLI Corp. The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products i... More
Allstate Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allstate's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Allstate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0493 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.34 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.69) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.57 |
Allstate Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allstate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allstate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allstate historical prices to predict the future Allstate's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1207 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0845 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0432 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2239 |
Allstate Backtested Returns
As of now, Allstate Stock is very steady. Allstate secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had a 0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for The Allstate, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Allstate's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1207, mean deviation of 0.9293, and Semi Deviation of 1.17 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Allstate has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.82, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Allstate's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allstate is expected to be smaller as well. Allstate right now shows a risk of 1.28%. Please confirm Allstate potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to decide if Allstate will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.67 |
Good predictability
The Allstate has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allstate time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allstate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Allstate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.57 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7.51 |
Allstate lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Allstate stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Allstate's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Allstate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Allstate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Allstate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Allstate stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Allstate stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Allstate stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Allstate Lagged Returns
When evaluating Allstate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Allstate stock have on its future price. Allstate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Allstate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Allstate stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Allstate.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Allstate technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.