The Allstate Stock Performance

ALL Stock  USD 203.22  6.21  2.97%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0994, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Allstate's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allstate is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Allstate has a negative expected return of -0.0539%. Please make sure to confirm Allstate's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Allstate performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days The Allstate has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent essential indicators, Allstate is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.97)
Five Day Return
(1.56)
Year To Date Return
(0.29)
Ten Year Return
217.53
All Time Return
1.3 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0206
Payout Ratio
0.1167
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
4.32
Dividend Date
2026-04-01
 
Allstate dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026
01/02/2026
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Begin Period Cash Flow722 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-8.3 B

Allstate Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  21,137  in The Allstate on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (815.00) from holding The Allstate or give up 3.86% of portfolio value over 90 days. The Allstate is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.6042% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Allstate, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Allstate is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

Allstate Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Allstate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 203.22 90 days 203.22 
about 63.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allstate to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.9 (This The Allstate probability density function shows the probability of Allstate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Allstate has a beta of 0.0994. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Allstate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Allstate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Allstate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Allstate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Allstate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allstate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
201.81203.41205.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
182.90221.74223.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
201.77203.38204.98
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
218.36239.95266.35
Details

Allstate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allstate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allstate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Allstate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allstate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
5.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Allstate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allstate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allstate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Allstate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Allstate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The Allstate has 89.15 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.45, which is OK given its current industry classification. Allstate has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Allstate to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Over 82.0% of Allstate shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 2nd of January 2026 Allstate paid $ 1.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Vanguard Group Inc. Lowers Holdings in Nucor Corporation NUE

Allstate Fundamentals Growth

Allstate Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Allstate, and Allstate fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Allstate Stock performance.

About Allstate Performance

By examining Allstate's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Allstate's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Allstate is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.34  0.35 

Things to note about Allstate performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Allstate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Allstate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Allstate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Allstate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The Allstate has 89.15 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.45, which is OK given its current industry classification. Allstate has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Allstate to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Over 82.0% of Allstate shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 2nd of January 2026 Allstate paid $ 1.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Vanguard Group Inc. Lowers Holdings in Nucor Corporation NUE
Evaluating Allstate's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Allstate's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Allstate's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Allstate's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Allstate's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Allstate's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Allstate's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Allstate's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Allstate's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Allstate's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Allstate's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Allstate is a strong investment it is important to analyze Allstate's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Allstate's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Allstate Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in The Allstate. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allstate. If investors know Allstate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Allstate assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.032
Dividend Share
4
Earnings Share
36.93
Revenue Per Share
256.772
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.051
The market value of Allstate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Allstate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Allstate's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Allstate's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Allstate's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Allstate's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Allstate's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Allstate represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Allstate's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.