ALTEO Energiaszolgalta (Hungary) Market Value

ALTEO Stock   4,260  10.00  0.23%   
ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's market value is the price at which a share of ALTEO Energiaszolgalta trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt investors about its performance. ALTEO Energiaszolgalta is trading at 4260.00 as of the 24th of November 2024, a 0.23% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4270.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ALTEO Energiaszolgalta over a given investment horizon. Check out ALTEO Energiaszolgalta Correlation, ALTEO Energiaszolgalta Volatility and ALTEO Energiaszolgalta Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ALTEO Energiaszolgalta.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ALTEO Energiaszolgalta is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ALTEO Energiaszolgalta.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ALTEO Energiaszolgalta on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt or generate 0.0% return on investment in ALTEO Energiaszolgalta over 30 days. ALTEO Energiaszolgalta is related to or competes with OTP Bank, Nutex Investments, and Delta Technologies. More

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ALTEO Energiaszolgalta historical prices to predict the future ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,2594,2604,261
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,8333,8344,686
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,2174,2184,219
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,2544,2634,273
Details

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta Backtested Returns

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the company had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's mean deviation of 0.8303, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0278, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ALTEO Energiaszolgalta are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ALTEO Energiaszolgalta is likely to outperform the market. At this point, ALTEO Energiaszolgalta has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if ALTEO Energiaszolgalta performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.15  

Insignificant reverse predictability

ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ALTEO Energiaszolgalta time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ALTEO Energiaszolgalta price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current ALTEO Energiaszolgalta price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.15
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1462.81

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ALTEO Energiaszolgalta stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ALTEO Energiaszolgalta returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ALTEO Energiaszolgalta has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ALTEO Energiaszolgalta stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ALTEO Energiaszolgalta stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ALTEO Energiaszolgalta stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta Lagged Returns

When evaluating ALTEO Energiaszolgalta's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ALTEO Energiaszolgalta stock have on its future price. ALTEO Energiaszolgalta autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ALTEO Energiaszolgalta autocorrelation shows the relationship between ALTEO Energiaszolgalta stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ALTEO Stock

ALTEO Energiaszolgalta financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALTEO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALTEO with respect to the benefits of owning ALTEO Energiaszolgalta security.