WeConnect (France) Market Value

ALWEC Stock  EUR 18.80  0.50  2.73%   
WeConnect's market value is the price at which a share of WeConnect trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of WeConnect investors about its performance. WeConnect is selling at 18.80 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 2.73 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 18.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of WeConnect and determine expected loss or profit from investing in WeConnect over a given investment horizon. Check out WeConnect Correlation, WeConnect Volatility and WeConnect Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on WeConnect.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between WeConnect's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WeConnect is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WeConnect's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

WeConnect 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to WeConnect's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of WeConnect.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in WeConnect on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding WeConnect or generate 0.0% return on investment in WeConnect over 30 days. WeConnect is related to or competes with Eutelsat Communications, X Fab, Impulse Fitness, Axway Software, Lexibook Linguistic, Invibes Advertising, and Exail Technologies. We.Connect SA designs, manufactures, assembles, and distributes computers, and peripheral and electronic equipment in Fr... More

WeConnect Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure WeConnect's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess WeConnect upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

WeConnect Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for WeConnect's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as WeConnect's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use WeConnect historical prices to predict the future WeConnect's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WeConnect's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.4718.8020.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3018.6219.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.6718.9920.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8517.8418.83
Details

WeConnect Backtested Returns

WeConnect retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0546, which attests that the company had a -0.0546% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. WeConnect exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out WeConnect's Mean Deviation of 0.9296, information ratio of (0.12), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.22) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.21, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, WeConnect's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding WeConnect is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, WeConnect has a negative expected return of -0.0723%. Please make sure to check out WeConnect's coefficient of variation, value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if WeConnect performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.07  

Very weak reverse predictability

WeConnect has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between WeConnect time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of WeConnect price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current WeConnect price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23

WeConnect lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is WeConnect stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting WeConnect's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of WeConnect returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that WeConnect has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

WeConnect regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If WeConnect stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if WeConnect stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in WeConnect stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

WeConnect Lagged Returns

When evaluating WeConnect's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of WeConnect stock have on its future price. WeConnect autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, WeConnect autocorrelation shows the relationship between WeConnect stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in WeConnect.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for WeConnect Stock Analysis

When running WeConnect's price analysis, check to measure WeConnect's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WeConnect is operating at the current time. Most of WeConnect's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WeConnect's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WeConnect's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WeConnect to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.