American Homes 4 Preferred Stock Market Value

AMH-PH Preferred Stock  USD 24.30  0.06  0.25%   
American Homes' market value is the price at which a share of American Homes trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of American Homes 4 investors about its performance. American Homes is trading at 24.30 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 0.25 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 24.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of American Homes 4 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in American Homes over a given investment horizon. Check out American Homes Correlation, American Homes Volatility and American Homes Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Homes.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Homes 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Homes' preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Homes.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Homes on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Homes 4 or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Homes over 720 days. American Homes is related to or competes with American Homes, BRT Realty, Nexpoint Residential, Centerspace, and Veris Residential. American Homes 4 Rent is a leader in the single-family home rental industry and American Homes 4 Rent is fast becoming a... More

American Homes Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Homes' preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Homes 4 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Homes Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Homes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Homes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Homes historical prices to predict the future American Homes' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5524.3025.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8224.5725.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.2524.0024.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.9724.5625.15
Details

American Homes 4 Backtested Returns

American Homes is very steady at the moment. American Homes 4 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0234, which signifies that the company had a 0.0234% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for American Homes 4, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm American Homes' risk adjusted performance of 0.0062, and Mean Deviation of 0.582 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0177%. American Homes has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, American Homes' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Homes is expected to be smaller as well. American Homes 4 right now shows a risk of 0.75%. Please confirm American Homes 4 treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if American Homes 4 will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.47  

Modest reverse predictability

American Homes 4 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Homes time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Homes 4 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current American Homes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.47
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.58

American Homes 4 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is American Homes preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Homes' preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Homes returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Homes has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

American Homes regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Homes preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Homes preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Homes preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

American Homes Lagged Returns

When evaluating American Homes' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Homes preferred stock have on its future price. American Homes autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Homes autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Homes preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Homes 4.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in American Preferred Stock

American Homes financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Homes security.