Amana Income Fund Market Value

AMINX Fund  USD 65.07  0.42  0.65%   
Amana Income's market value is the price at which a share of Amana Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amana Income Fund investors about its performance. Amana Income is trading at 65.07 as of the 31st of January 2025; that is 0.65 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 64.65.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amana Income Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amana Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Amana Income Correlation, Amana Income Volatility and Amana Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amana Income.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amana Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amana Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amana Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amana Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amana Income's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amana Income.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 4 months and 31 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amana Income on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amana Income Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amana Income over 150 days. Amana Income is related to or competes with Amana Growth, Amana Developing, Amana Developing, Amana Income, and Amana Participation. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its total net assets in income-producing securities, primarily dividend... More

Amana Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amana Income's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amana Income Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amana Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amana Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amana Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amana Income historical prices to predict the future Amana Income's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.1165.0766.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.3865.3466.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.1265.0866.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.2565.7770.29
Details

Amana Income Backtested Returns

Amana Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0467, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0467 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Amana Income Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Amana Income's mean deviation of 0.6191, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Amana Income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amana Income is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Amana Income Fund has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amana Income time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amana Income price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Amana Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.76

Amana Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amana Income mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amana Income's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amana Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amana Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amana Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amana Income mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amana Income mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amana Income mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amana Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amana Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amana Income mutual fund have on its future price. Amana Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amana Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amana Income mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amana Income Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Amana Mutual Fund

Amana Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amana Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amana with respect to the benefits of owning Amana Income security.
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