Ams Ag Stock Market Value
| AMSSY Stock | USD 3.80 0.44 13.10% |
| Symbol | Ams |
Ams AG 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ams AG's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ams AG.
| 08/29/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ams AG on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ams AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ams AG over 90 days. Ams AG is related to or competes with Aeluma, Rohm Co, Intchains Group, Renesas Electronics, Power Integrations, MACOM Technology, and MagnaChip Semiconductor. ams-OSRAM AG designs, manufactures, and sells LED and optical sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the A... More
Ams AG Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ams AG's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ams AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 18.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1617 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 961.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (16.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 16.59 |
Ams AG Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ams AG's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ams AG's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ams AG historical prices to predict the future Ams AG's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1342 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 23.87 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.7616 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 1.34 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.58 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ams AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ams AG Backtested Returns
ams AG secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0615, which signifies that the company had a -0.0615% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ams AG exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ams AG's Downside Deviation of 18.6, semi deviation of 12.83, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1342 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 9.7, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ams AG will likely underperform. At this point, ams AG has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to confirm Ams AG's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if ams AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.66 |
Very good reverse predictability
ams AG has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ams AG time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ams AG price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Ams AG price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.66 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.26 |
ams AG lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ams AG pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ams AG's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ams AG returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ams AG has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ams AG regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ams AG pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ams AG pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ams AG pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ams AG Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ams AG's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ams AG pink sheet have on its future price. Ams AG autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ams AG autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ams AG pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ams AG.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Ams Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ams AG's price analysis, check to measure Ams AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ams AG is operating at the current time. Most of Ams AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ams AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ams AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ams AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.