American Outdoor Brands Stock Market Value
| AOUT Stock | USD 8.78 0.20 2.33% |
| Symbol | American |
Is there potential for Leisure Products market expansion? Will American introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Outdoor. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about American Outdoor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share (0.44) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
American Outdoor Brands's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on American's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate American Outdoor's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since American Outdoor's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that American Outdoor's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Outdoor represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, American Outdoor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
American Outdoor 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Outdoor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Outdoor.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Outdoor on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Outdoor Brands or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Outdoor over 90 days. American Outdoor is related to or competes with Tron, Sportsmans, GEN Restaurant, GrowGeneration Corp, Aureus Greenway, TH International, and QVC. American Outdoor Brands, Inc. provides outdoor products and accessories for rugged outdoor enthusiasts in the United Sta... More
American Outdoor Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Outdoor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Outdoor Brands upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0702 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.56 |
American Outdoor Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Outdoor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Outdoor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Outdoor historical prices to predict the future American Outdoor's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0743 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.157 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0501 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0725 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1402 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Outdoor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Outdoor January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0743 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1502 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1084.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.79 | |||
| Variance | 7.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0702 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.157 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0501 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0725 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1402 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.66) | |||
| Skewness | (0.30) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7959 |
American Outdoor Brands Backtested Returns
American Outdoor appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. American Outdoor Brands secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for American Outdoor Brands, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of American Outdoor's mean deviation of 2.25, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0743 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, American Outdoor holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.76, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Outdoor will likely underperform. Please check American Outdoor's potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether American Outdoor's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.39 |
Below average predictability
American Outdoor Brands has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Outdoor time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Outdoor Brands price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current American Outdoor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.39 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.28 |
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Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Outdoor's price analysis, check to measure American Outdoor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Outdoor is operating at the current time. Most of American Outdoor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Outdoor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Outdoor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Outdoor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.