American Outdoor Brands Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AOUT Stock | USD 16.75 0.40 2.33% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Outdoor Brands is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American Outdoor Brands given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American Outdoor Brands, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out American Outdoor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. American Outdoor Brands. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
American |
Execute American Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Outdoor Brands. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Outdoor Brands or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Outdoor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
American Outdoor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Outdoor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 201.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 87.63 M. | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Diversified Investment Strategies LLC Buys 21,500 Shares of American Outdoor Brands, Inc. - MarketBeat |
American Outdoor Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Outdoor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Outdoor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Outdoor daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Outdoor Brands price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Outdoor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Outdoor.
| Mean Return | 0.96 | Value At Risk | -3.59 | Potential Upside | 8.39 | Standard Deviation | 3.94 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Outdoor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
The American Outdoor's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase American Outdoor's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Teton Advisors Inc | 2024-09-30 | 175.6 K | Ancora Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 149.9 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 138.3 K | Diversified Investment Strategies, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 117.5 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 115.4 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-09-30 | 75 K | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 71.9 K | White Pine Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 68.1 K | Gabelli Funds Llc | 2024-09-30 | 58.7 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 836.2 K | Brandes Investment Partners & Co | 2024-09-30 | 827.5 K |
American Outdoor Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (14.3M) | (41.4M) | 21.9M | 6.4M | 7.4M | 7.8M | |
| Investments | (4.2M) | (33.6M) | (4.8M) | (6.0M) | (5.4M) | (5.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | 60.6M | (41.3M) | 2.4M | 7.7M | 7.0M | 7.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 29.1M | (24.5M) | 25.9M | 18.4M | 21.1M | 12.7M | |
| Depreciation | 19.8M | 17.0M | 16.5M | 16.1M | 14.5M | 16.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 59K | 68.0M | 22.8M | 15.0K | 13.5K | 12.8K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.2M | 6.6M | 4.9M | 6.1M | 7.0M | 4.4M | |
| Net Income | 18.4M | (64.9M) | (12.0M) | (12.2M) | (11.0M) | (11.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 60.8M | 19.5M | 22.0M | 29.7M | 34.2M | 20.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 89.5M | (134K) | 75.7M | 4.1M | 4.8M | 4.5M |
American Outdoor Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Outdoor or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Outdoor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
American Outdoor Volatility Alert
American Outdoor Brands currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.22 and Jensen Alpha of 0.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Outdoor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Outdoor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Outdoor Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Outdoor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Outdoor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Outdoor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Outdoor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Outdoor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Outdoor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Outdoor to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Outdoor | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.058 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0284 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.06) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 233.56 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 12.76 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 66.89 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 84.47 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.85 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.22 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.07 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 201.1 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 87.63 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (12.25 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 17.47 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.30 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 34.62 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.23 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 6.09 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.90 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 24.49 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.40 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.57) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 17.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 289 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.38 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 213.8 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 240.6 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (74.62 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 125.99 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 240.6 M |
Note: Disposition of 1283 shares by Brian Murphy of American Outdoor at 8.79 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Outdoor Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 843.72 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.75) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.40) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.40) |
About American Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Outdoor Brands? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Financials
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Outdoor's price analysis, check to measure American Outdoor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Outdoor is operating at the current time. Most of American Outdoor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Outdoor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Outdoor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Outdoor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.