Apa Group Stock Market Value

APAJF Stock  USD 4.20  0.24  5.41%   
APA's market value is the price at which a share of APA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of APA Group investors about its performance. APA is trading at 4.20 as of the 26th of November 2024. This is a 5.41% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of APA Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in APA over a given investment horizon. Check out APA Correlation, APA Volatility and APA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on APA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between APA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if APA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, APA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

APA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to APA's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of APA.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in APA on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding APA Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in APA over 30 days. APA is related to or competes with NiSource, NewJersey Resources, Northwest Natural, UGI, and Spire. APA Group engages in energy infrastructure business in Australia More

APA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure APA's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess APA Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

APA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for APA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as APA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use APA historical prices to predict the future APA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.209.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.768.69
Details

APA Group Backtested Returns

APA Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0393, which signifies that the company had a -0.0393% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. APA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm APA's variance of 23.6, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3384 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.6, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning APA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, APA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, APA Group has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to confirm APA's value at risk, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if APA Group performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

APA Group has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between APA time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of APA Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current APA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

APA Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is APA pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting APA's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of APA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that APA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

APA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If APA pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if APA pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in APA pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

APA Lagged Returns

When evaluating APA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of APA pink sheet have on its future price. APA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, APA autocorrelation shows the relationship between APA pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in APA Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in APA Pink Sheet

APA financial ratios help investors to determine whether APA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APA with respect to the benefits of owning APA security.