Aqua Power Systems Stock Market Value

APSI Stock  USD 0.02  0.0008  3.52%   
Aqua Power's market value is the price at which a share of Aqua Power trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aqua Power Systems investors about its performance. Aqua Power is trading at 0.0235 as of the 12th of December 2024. This is a 3.52 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 0.0227.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aqua Power Systems and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aqua Power over a given investment horizon. Check out Aqua Power Correlation, Aqua Power Volatility and Aqua Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aqua Power.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aqua Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aqua Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aqua Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aqua Power 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aqua Power's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aqua Power.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aqua Power on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aqua Power Systems or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aqua Power over 30 days. Aqua Power is related to or competes with Green Planet, Azure Holding, and Four Leaf. Aqua Power Systems Inc. does not have significant operations More

Aqua Power Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aqua Power's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aqua Power Systems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aqua Power Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aqua Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aqua Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aqua Power historical prices to predict the future Aqua Power's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aqua Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0211.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0211.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0211.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.03
Details

Aqua Power Systems Backtested Returns

Aqua Power is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Aqua Power Systems secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0985, which signifies that the company had a 0.0985% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We are able to interpolate and collect twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.14% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Aqua Power Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0766, downside deviation of 12.85, and Mean Deviation of 5.63 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Aqua Power holds a performance score of 7 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.94, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Aqua Power are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Aqua Power is expected to outperform it slightly. Use Aqua Power value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to analyze future returns on Aqua Power.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Aqua Power Systems has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aqua Power time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aqua Power Systems price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Aqua Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Aqua Power Systems lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aqua Power pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aqua Power's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aqua Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aqua Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aqua Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aqua Power pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aqua Power pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aqua Power pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aqua Power Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aqua Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aqua Power pink sheet have on its future price. Aqua Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aqua Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aqua Power pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aqua Power Systems.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Aqua Pink Sheet

Aqua Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aqua Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aqua with respect to the benefits of owning Aqua Power security.