Amg River Road Fund Market Value

ARSIX Fund  USD 18.13  0.21  1.15%   
Amg River's market value is the price at which a share of Amg River trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amg River Road investors about its performance. Amg River is trading at 18.13 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.15 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amg River Road and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amg River over a given investment horizon. Check out Amg River Correlation, Amg River Volatility and Amg River Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amg River.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amg River's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amg River is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amg River's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amg River 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amg River's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amg River.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amg River on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amg River Road or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amg River over 30 days. Amg River is related to or competes with Victory Trivalent, Deutsche Global, Mfs International, Jpmorgan, and Clarkston Partners. Under normal conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in equity securities of small-cap companies ... More

Amg River Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amg River's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amg River Road upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amg River Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amg River's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amg River's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amg River historical prices to predict the future Amg River's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.0318.1319.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3418.4419.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.6817.7818.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.0018.2018.40
Details

Amg River Road Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Amg Mutual Fund to be very steady. Amg River Road secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the fund had a 0.16% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Amg River Road, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Amg River's mean deviation of 0.7297, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1379 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Amg River's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Amg River is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

Amg River Road has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amg River time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amg River Road price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Amg River price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Amg River Road lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amg River mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amg River's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amg River returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amg River has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amg River regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amg River mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amg River mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amg River mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amg River Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amg River's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amg River mutual fund have on its future price. Amg River autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amg River autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amg River mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amg River Road.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Amg Mutual Fund

Amg River financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amg with respect to the benefits of owning Amg River security.
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