Astonriver Road Independent Fund Market Value

ARVIX Fund  USD 13.52  0.06  0.44%   
Aston/river Road's market value is the price at which a share of Aston/river Road trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Astonriver Road Independent investors about its performance. Aston/river Road is trading at 13.52 as of the 19th of January 2026; that is 0.44 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Astonriver Road Independent and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aston/river Road over a given investment horizon. Check out Aston/river Road Correlation, Aston/river Road Volatility and Aston/river Road Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aston/river Road.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aston/river Road's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aston/river Road is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aston/river Road's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aston/river Road 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aston/river Road's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aston/river Road.
0.00
12/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/19/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aston/river Road on December 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Astonriver Road Independent or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aston/river Road over 30 days. Aston/river Road is related to or competes with Arga Emerging, Vanguard Growth, Blackrock Advantage, The Arbitrage, Amana Developing, and Siit Small. The fund mainly invests in common stocks, but may also invest in depositary receipts , European Depositary Receipts and ... More

Aston/river Road Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aston/river Road's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Astonriver Road Independent upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aston/river Road Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aston/river Road's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aston/river Road's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aston/river Road historical prices to predict the future Aston/river Road's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1213.5214.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9714.3715.77
Details

Astonriver Road Inde Backtested Returns

Aston/river Road appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Astonriver Road Inde secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.23, which signifies that the fund had a 0.23 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Astonriver Road Independent, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of Aston/river Road's Mean Deviation of 0.7406, risk adjusted performance of 0.1708, and Downside Deviation of 0.8449 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.82, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aston/river Road's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aston/river Road is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

Astonriver Road Independent has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aston/river Road time series from 20th of December 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 19th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Astonriver Road Inde price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Aston/river Road price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Astonriver Road Inde lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aston/river Road mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aston/river Road's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aston/river Road returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aston/river Road has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aston/river Road regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aston/river Road mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aston/river Road mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aston/river Road mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aston/river Road Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aston/river Road's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aston/river Road mutual fund have on its future price. Aston/river Road autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aston/river Road autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aston/river Road mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Astonriver Road Independent.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aston/river Mutual Fund

Aston/river Road financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aston/river Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aston/river with respect to the benefits of owning Aston/river Road security.
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