Arway Stock Market Value
| ARWYF Stock | USD 0.07 0.01 11.45% |
| Symbol | Arway |
Arway 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arway's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arway.
| 06/28/2025 |
| 12/25/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Arway on June 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arway or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arway over 180 days. Arway is related to or competes with Media Technologies. Arway Corporation engages in developing and operating ARway application More
Arway Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arway's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arway upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 16.87 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0766 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 106.46 | |||
| Value At Risk | (22.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 30.32 |
Arway Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arway's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arway's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arway historical prices to predict the future Arway's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0664 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.45 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.39) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0894 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.8776 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arway's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Arway Backtested Returns
Arway is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Arway secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0831, which signifies that the company had a 0.0831 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have analyzed and interpolated twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.66% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Arway Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0664, downside deviation of 16.87, and Mean Deviation of 13.7 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Arway holds a performance score of 6 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.8, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arway will likely underperform. Use Arway potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Arway.
Auto-correlation | -0.54 |
Good reverse predictability
Arway has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arway time series from 28th of June 2025 to 26th of September 2025 and 26th of September 2025 to 25th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arway price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Arway price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Arway lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Arway pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arway's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arway returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arway has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Arway regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arway pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arway pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arway pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Arway Lagged Returns
When evaluating Arway's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arway pink sheet have on its future price. Arway autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arway autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arway pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arway.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Arway Pink Sheet
Arway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arway Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arway with respect to the benefits of owning Arway security.