Asseco South (Poland) Market Value
| ASE Stock | 48.70 0.40 0.83% |
| Symbol | Asseco |
Asseco South 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Asseco South's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Asseco South.
| 05/26/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Asseco South on May 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Asseco South Eastern or generate 0.0% return on investment in Asseco South over 180 days.
Asseco South Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Asseco South's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Asseco South Eastern upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.39) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.01 |
Asseco South Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Asseco South's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Asseco South's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Asseco South historical prices to predict the future Asseco South's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.63) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asseco South's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Asseco South Eastern Backtested Returns
Asseco South Eastern secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0205, which signifies that the company had a -0.0205% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Asseco South Eastern exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Asseco South's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), standard deviation of 1.35, and Mean Deviation of 1.03 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.051, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Asseco South's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Asseco South is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Asseco South Eastern has a negative expected return of -0.0273%. Please make sure to confirm Asseco South's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Asseco South Eastern performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.5 |
Modest reverse predictability
Asseco South Eastern has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Asseco South time series from 26th of May 2024 to 24th of August 2024 and 24th of August 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Asseco South Eastern price movement. The serial correlation of -0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Asseco South price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.5 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.6 |
Asseco South Eastern lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Asseco South stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Asseco South's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Asseco South returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Asseco South has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Asseco South regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Asseco South stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Asseco South stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Asseco South stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Asseco South Lagged Returns
When evaluating Asseco South's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Asseco South stock have on its future price. Asseco South autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Asseco South autocorrelation shows the relationship between Asseco South stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Asseco South Eastern.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Asseco South
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Asseco South position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Asseco South will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Asseco South could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Asseco South when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Asseco South - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Asseco South Eastern to buy it.
The correlation of Asseco South is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Asseco South moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Asseco South Eastern moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Asseco South can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Asseco Stock Analysis
When running Asseco South's price analysis, check to measure Asseco South's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asseco South is operating at the current time. Most of Asseco South's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asseco South's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asseco South's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asseco South to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.