Allianzgi Short Duration Fund Market Value

ASHSX Fund  USD 13.69  0.03  0.22%   
Allianzgi Short's market value is the price at which a share of Allianzgi Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Allianzgi Short Duration investors about its performance. Allianzgi Short is trading at 13.69 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.22% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.66.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Allianzgi Short Duration and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Allianzgi Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Allianzgi Short Correlation, Allianzgi Short Volatility and Allianzgi Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Allianzgi Short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Allianzgi Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allianzgi Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allianzgi Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Allianzgi Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allianzgi Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allianzgi Short.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Allianzgi Short on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Allianzgi Short Duration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allianzgi Short over 30 days. Allianzgi Short is related to or competes with Allianzgi Nfj, Allianzgi Nfj, Allianzgi Emerging, Allianzgi Focused, Allianzgi Global, and Allianzgi International. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by normally investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in debt securities issued by public and private companies, which are rated below investment grade, while maintaining an average duration of less than three years, and in derivatives and other synthetic instruments that have economic characteristics similar to such debt securities. More

Allianzgi Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allianzgi Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Allianzgi Short Duration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Allianzgi Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allianzgi Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allianzgi Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allianzgi Short historical prices to predict the future Allianzgi Short's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allianzgi Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6013.6913.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4812.5715.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5713.6613.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.6213.6513.68
Details

Allianzgi Short Duration Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Allianzgi Mutual Fund to be very steady. Allianzgi Short Duration secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.29, which signifies that the fund had a 0.29% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Allianzgi Short Duration, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Allianzgi Short's Mean Deviation of 0.0744, coefficient of variation of 287.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1949 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0254%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0488, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Allianzgi Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allianzgi Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

Allianzgi Short Duration has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allianzgi Short time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allianzgi Short Duration price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Allianzgi Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Allianzgi Short Duration lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Allianzgi Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Allianzgi Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Allianzgi Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Allianzgi Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Allianzgi Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Allianzgi Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Allianzgi Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Allianzgi Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Allianzgi Short mutual fund have on its future price. Allianzgi Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Allianzgi Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Allianzgi Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Allianzgi Short Duration.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Allianzgi Mutual Fund

Allianzgi Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allianzgi Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allianzgi with respect to the benefits of owning Allianzgi Short security.
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