ASR Nederland (Netherlands) Market Value

ASRNL Stock  EUR 45.76  0.63  1.40%   
ASR Nederland's market value is the price at which a share of ASR Nederland trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ASR Nederland NV investors about its performance. ASR Nederland is trading at 45.76 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 1.40 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 45.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ASR Nederland NV and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ASR Nederland over a given investment horizon. Check out ASR Nederland Correlation, ASR Nederland Volatility and ASR Nederland Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ASR Nederland.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ASR Nederland's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ASR Nederland is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ASR Nederland's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ASR Nederland 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ASR Nederland's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ASR Nederland.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ASR Nederland on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ASR Nederland NV or generate 0.0% return on investment in ASR Nederland over 510 days. ASR Nederland is related to or competes with NN Group, Koninklijke Ahold, BE Semiconductor, Aegon NV, and Aalberts Industries. ASR Nederland N.V. provides various insurance and non-insurance products and services to private and business customers ... More

ASR Nederland Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ASR Nederland's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ASR Nederland NV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ASR Nederland Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ASR Nederland's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ASR Nederland's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ASR Nederland historical prices to predict the future ASR Nederland's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.5645.7646.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.7744.9746.17
Details

ASR Nederland NV Backtested Returns

At this point, ASR Nederland is very steady. ASR Nederland NV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0514, which signifies that the company had a 0.0514% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for ASR Nederland NV, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm ASR Nederland's mean deviation of 0.9157, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0303 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0619%. ASR Nederland has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.45, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ASR Nederland's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ASR Nederland is expected to be smaller as well. ASR Nederland NV currently shows a risk of 1.2%. Please confirm ASR Nederland NV expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if ASR Nederland NV will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

ASR Nederland NV has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ASR Nederland time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ASR Nederland NV price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current ASR Nederland price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.33

ASR Nederland NV lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ASR Nederland stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ASR Nederland's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ASR Nederland returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ASR Nederland has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ASR Nederland regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ASR Nederland stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ASR Nederland stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ASR Nederland stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ASR Nederland Lagged Returns

When evaluating ASR Nederland's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ASR Nederland stock have on its future price. ASR Nederland autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ASR Nederland autocorrelation shows the relationship between ASR Nederland stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ASR Nederland NV.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in ASR Stock

ASR Nederland financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASR with respect to the benefits of owning ASR Nederland security.