Algoma Steel Group Stock Market Value
| ASTL Stock | USD 4.61 0.29 6.71% |
| Symbol | Algoma |
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Algoma Steel. If investors know Algoma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Algoma Steel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | Dividend Share 0.427 | Earnings Share (1.03) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
The market value of Algoma Steel Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Algoma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Algoma Steel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Algoma Steel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Algoma Steel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Algoma Steel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Algoma Steel's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Algoma Steel represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Algoma Steel's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Algoma Steel 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Algoma Steel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Algoma Steel.
| 11/11/2025 |
| 02/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Algoma Steel on November 11, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Algoma Steel Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Algoma Steel over 90 days. Algoma Steel is related to or competes with Osisko Development, Olympic Steel, Rayonier Advanced, Dakota Gold, New Found, Nova Minerals, and Nouveau Monde. Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products primarily in North America More
Algoma Steel Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Algoma Steel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Algoma Steel Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.032 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.14 |
Algoma Steel Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Algoma Steel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Algoma Steel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Algoma Steel historical prices to predict the future Algoma Steel's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0512 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0231 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0327 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0893 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Algoma Steel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Algoma Steel February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0512 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0993 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.8 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.07 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1868.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.17 | |||
| Variance | 17.35 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.032 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0231 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0327 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0893 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.78) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0557 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.45) |
Algoma Steel Group Backtested Returns
Algoma Steel appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Algoma Steel Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which signifies that the company had a 0.1 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Algoma Steel Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Algoma Steel's mean deviation of 3.34, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0512 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Algoma Steel holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.38, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Algoma Steel will likely underperform. Please check Algoma Steel's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Algoma Steel's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.57 |
Modest predictability
Algoma Steel Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Algoma Steel time series from 11th of November 2025 to 26th of December 2025 and 26th of December 2025 to 9th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Algoma Steel Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Algoma Steel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.57 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.05 |
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Algoma Steel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.