Atul (India) Market Value

ATUL Stock   6,286  44.70  0.71%   
Atul's market value is the price at which a share of Atul trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Atul Limited investors about its performance. Atul is selling for under 6285.70 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 0.71 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6209.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Atul Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Atul over a given investment horizon. Check out Atul Correlation, Atul Volatility and Atul Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Atul.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Atul's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atul is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atul's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Atul 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Atul's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Atul.
0.00
01/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Atul on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Atul Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Atul over 30 days. Atul is related to or competes with Jindal Steel, Manaksia Steels, Yatra Online, Data Patterns, JSW Steel, Visa Steel, and NMDC Steel. Atul is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Atul Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Atul's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Atul Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Atul Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Atul's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Atul's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Atul historical prices to predict the future Atul's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,2456,2476,914
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,6265,6286,914
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,0046,0066,007
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
41.0542.8445.20
Details

Atul Limited Backtested Returns

Atul Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.2, which signifies that the company had a -0.2 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Atul Limited exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Atul's Mean Deviation of 1.24, standard deviation of 1.64, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Atul's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Atul is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Atul Limited has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to confirm Atul's maximum drawdown, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Atul Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Atul Limited has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Atul time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 17th of January 2025 and 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Atul Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Atul price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance46.6 K

Atul Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Atul stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Atul's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Atul returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Atul has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Atul regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Atul stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Atul stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Atul stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Atul Lagged Returns

When evaluating Atul's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Atul stock have on its future price. Atul autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Atul autocorrelation shows the relationship between Atul stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Atul Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Atul Stock Analysis

When running Atul's price analysis, check to measure Atul's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atul is operating at the current time. Most of Atul's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atul's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atul's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atul to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.