AT S (Germany) Market Value

AUS Stock  EUR 13.34  0.64  5.04%   
AT S's market value is the price at which a share of AT S trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AT S Austria investors about its performance. AT S is trading at 13.34 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 5.04 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AT S Austria and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AT S over a given investment horizon. Check out AT S Correlation, AT S Volatility and AT S Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AT S.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AT S's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AT S is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AT S's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AT S 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AT S's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AT S.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AT S on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AT S Austria or generate 0.0% return on investment in AT S over 30 days. AT S is related to or competes with MAGIC SOFTWARE, PSI Software, Entravision Communications, Check Point, WillScot Mobile, and CyberArk Software. AT S Austria Technologie Systemtechnik Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes ... More

AT S Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AT S's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AT S Austria upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AT S Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AT S's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AT S's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AT S historical prices to predict the future AT S's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2413.3416.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4812.5815.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.5811.6814.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7814.0316.27
Details

AT S Austria Backtested Returns

AT S Austria retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which signifies that the company had a -0.13% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AT S exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AT S's Information Ratio of (0.18), variance of 9.18, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.34) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.21, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AT S will likely underperform. At this point, AT S Austria has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to confirm AT S's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if AT S Austria performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

AT S Austria has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AT S time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AT S Austria price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current AT S price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test-0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.91

AT S Austria lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AT S stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AT S's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AT S returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AT S has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AT S regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AT S stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AT S stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AT S stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AT S Lagged Returns

When evaluating AT S's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AT S stock have on its future price. AT S autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AT S autocorrelation shows the relationship between AT S stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AT S Austria.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in AUS Stock

AT S financial ratios help investors to determine whether AUS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AUS with respect to the benefits of owning AT S security.