Mordechai Aviv (Israel) Market Value

AVIV Stock  ILS 1,999  54.00  2.78%   
Mordechai Aviv's market value is the price at which a share of Mordechai Aviv trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mordechai Aviv Taasiot investors about its performance. Mordechai Aviv is trading at 1999.00 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 2.78 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1945.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mordechai Aviv Taasiot and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mordechai Aviv over a given investment horizon. Check out Mordechai Aviv Correlation, Mordechai Aviv Volatility and Mordechai Aviv Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mordechai Aviv.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mordechai Aviv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mordechai Aviv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mordechai Aviv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mordechai Aviv 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mordechai Aviv's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mordechai Aviv.
0.00
05/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mordechai Aviv on May 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mordechai Aviv Taasiot or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mordechai Aviv over 180 days. Mordechai Aviv is related to or competes with Al Bad, Imperium Group, Amanet Management, Gan Shmuel, and El Mor. Mordechai Aviv Taasiot Beniyah Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Israel and internationally More

Mordechai Aviv Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mordechai Aviv's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mordechai Aviv Taasiot upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mordechai Aviv Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mordechai Aviv's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mordechai Aviv's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mordechai Aviv historical prices to predict the future Mordechai Aviv's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,9961,9992,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8111,8142,199
Details

Mordechai Aviv Taasiot Backtested Returns

Mordechai Aviv appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Mordechai Aviv Taasiot has Sharpe Ratio of 0.3, which conveys that the firm had a 0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Mordechai Aviv's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.89% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Mordechai Aviv's Downside Deviation of 3.22, risk adjusted performance of 0.1632, and Mean Deviation of 2.37 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Mordechai Aviv holds a performance score of 23. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mordechai Aviv's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mordechai Aviv is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Mordechai Aviv's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Mordechai Aviv's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Mordechai Aviv Taasiot has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mordechai Aviv time series from 30th of May 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mordechai Aviv Taasiot price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Mordechai Aviv price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance39.9 K

Mordechai Aviv Taasiot lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mordechai Aviv stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mordechai Aviv's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mordechai Aviv returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mordechai Aviv has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Mordechai Aviv regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mordechai Aviv stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mordechai Aviv stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mordechai Aviv stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mordechai Aviv Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mordechai Aviv's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mordechai Aviv stock have on its future price. Mordechai Aviv autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mordechai Aviv autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mordechai Aviv stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mordechai Aviv Taasiot.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mordechai Stock

Mordechai Aviv financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mordechai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mordechai with respect to the benefits of owning Mordechai Aviv security.