Banco Da (Brazil) Market Value

BAZA3 Stock  BRL 87.37  1.63  1.83%   
Banco Da's market value is the price at which a share of Banco Da trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Banco da Amaznia investors about its performance. Banco Da is selling for under 87.37 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.83% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 87.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Banco da Amaznia and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Banco Da over a given investment horizon. Check out Banco Da Correlation, Banco Da Volatility and Banco Da Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Banco Da.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Da's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Da is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Da's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Banco Da 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Banco Da's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Banco Da.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Banco Da on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Banco da Amaznia or generate 0.0% return on investment in Banco Da over 30 days. Banco Da is related to or competes with Banestes, Banco Mercantil, Banco Do, Banco Do, and Banco Alfa. Banco da Amaznia S.A. provides banking products and services in the Amazon region of Brazil More

Banco Da Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Banco Da's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Banco da Amaznia upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Banco Da Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Banco Da's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Banco Da's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Banco Da historical prices to predict the future Banco Da's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.0086.2687.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.7490.1892.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Da. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Da's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Da's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco da Amaznia.

Banco da Amaznia Backtested Returns

Banco da Amaznia secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the company had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Banco da Amaznia exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Banco Da's Mean Deviation of 0.7952, standard deviation of 1.25, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Banco Da are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Banco Da is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Banco da Amaznia has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to confirm Banco Da's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Banco da Amaznia performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Banco da Amaznia has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Banco Da time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Banco da Amaznia price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Banco Da price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.13

Banco da Amaznia lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Banco Da stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Banco Da's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Banco Da returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Banco Da has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Banco Da regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Banco Da stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Banco Da stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Banco Da stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Banco Da Lagged Returns

When evaluating Banco Da's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Banco Da stock have on its future price. Banco Da autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Banco Da autocorrelation shows the relationship between Banco Da stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Banco da Amaznia.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Banco Stock Analysis

When running Banco Da's price analysis, check to measure Banco Da's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Da is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Da's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Da's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Da's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Da to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.