William Blair Growth Fund Market Value

BGFIX Fund  USD 15.91  0.11  0.69%   
William Blair's market value is the price at which a share of William Blair trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of William Blair Growth investors about its performance. William Blair is trading at 15.91 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.69 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of William Blair Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in William Blair over a given investment horizon. Check out William Blair Correlation, William Blair Volatility and William Blair Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on William Blair.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between William Blair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if William Blair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, William Blair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

William Blair 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to William Blair's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of William Blair.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in William Blair on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding William Blair Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in William Blair over 30 days. William Blair is related to or competes with Dunham Corporate/govern, John Hancock, and Us Government. The fund invests primarily in a diversified portfolio of equity securities, including common stocks and other forms of e... More

William Blair Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure William Blair's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess William Blair Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

William Blair Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for William Blair's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as William Blair's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use William Blair historical prices to predict the future William Blair's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9215.9116.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7015.6916.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.9215.9116.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.4015.7616.11
Details

William Blair Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider WILLIAM Mutual Fund to be very steady. William Blair Growth shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for William Blair Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out William Blair's Downside Deviation of 1.15, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1335, and Mean Deviation of 0.7117 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The entity maintains a market beta of 1.01, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. William Blair returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, William Blair is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.91  

Excellent predictability

William Blair Growth has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between William Blair time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of William Blair Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current William Blair price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.91
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

William Blair Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is William Blair mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting William Blair's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of William Blair returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that William Blair has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

William Blair regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If William Blair mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if William Blair mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in William Blair mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

William Blair Lagged Returns

When evaluating William Blair's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of William Blair mutual fund have on its future price. William Blair autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, William Blair autocorrelation shows the relationship between William Blair mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in William Blair Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in WILLIAM Mutual Fund

William Blair financial ratios help investors to determine whether WILLIAM Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WILLIAM with respect to the benefits of owning William Blair security.
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