Baron Health Care Fund Market Value

BHCHX Fund  USD 20.44  0.11  0.54%   
Baron Health's market value is the price at which a share of Baron Health trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Baron Health Care investors about its performance. Baron Health is trading at 20.44 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.54 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.33.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Baron Health Care and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Baron Health over a given investment horizon. Check out Baron Health Correlation, Baron Health Volatility and Baron Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Baron Health.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Baron Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baron Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baron Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Baron Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Baron Health's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Baron Health.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Baron Health on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Baron Health Care or generate 0.0% return on investment in Baron Health over 30 days. Baron Health is related to or competes with Alger Health, Baillie Gifford, Allianzgi Health, Fidelity Advisor, Eventide Healthcare, Highland Long/short, and Blackrock Health. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities in the form of c... More

Baron Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Baron Health's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Baron Health Care upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Baron Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Baron Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Baron Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Baron Health historical prices to predict the future Baron Health's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6020.4421.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.6820.5221.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.3020.1320.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6020.5221.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Baron Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Baron Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Baron Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Baron Health Care.

Baron Health Care Backtested Returns

Baron Health Care secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0659, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0659% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Baron Health Care exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Baron Health's Mean Deviation of 0.6452, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 0.8304 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Baron Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Baron Health is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.02  

Very weak reverse predictability

Baron Health Care has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Baron Health time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Baron Health Care price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Baron Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.84
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Baron Health Care lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Baron Health mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Baron Health's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Baron Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Baron Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Baron Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Baron Health mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Baron Health mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Baron Health mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Baron Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Baron Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Baron Health mutual fund have on its future price. Baron Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Baron Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Baron Health mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Baron Health Care.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Baron Mutual Fund

Baron Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baron Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baron with respect to the benefits of owning Baron Health security.
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